Why McCain will win

March 23, 2008

Americans are essentially conservative.

The emotional appeal of patriotism is more powerful than reasoned policy arguments.

If we make a move toward military involvement with Iran, which seems not unlikely, bewildered voters will decide to support Bush’s heir apparent.

Voters will accept the argument that the surge has worked to stabilize Iraq, as the media in many cases already seem to have done.

Some big surprise that nobody saw coming but for those who arranged it.

Everybody likes a war hero, unless that hero is a Democrat.

Party discipline among Republicans.

The cultural archetype of authority as white and male is still operative.

Anti-Democratic media backlash.

A very possibly calamitous Democratic National Convention.

Leave a Reply